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Variety’s Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies from film awards editor Clayton Davis. Following history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar and Emmy predictions are updated regularly with the current year’s list of contenders in all categories. Variety’s Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. The eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and is subject to change.
Welcome to THE COLLECTIVE, all the latest predictions for the upcoming Academy Awards in one place. See the top 10 best picture awards contenders, with the top 5 prospects in all categories. Check back Thursdays for the latest updates.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE OSCARS HUB
Revisit the prediction archive of the 2021 season THE ARCHIVE
Link to television awards is atTHE EMMYS HUB
2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
ALL CATEGORIES
UPDATED: Feb 4, 2022
The latest updates: It’s the final Oscars predictions and it’s as wide open (and confusing) as ever. We might see a “normal-looking” lineup that’s been echoed by many of the guilds, or we’re going to witness an awards season anarchy, where snubs and surprises will come nearly everywhere. Of course, there will be anything in-between.
The complete list of predictions is below where Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune” is forecast to lead with 10 nominations. At the same time, Jane Campion’s “The Power of the Dog” and Steven Spielberg’s “West Side Story” are expected to pick up an impressive nine and seven nods each. Campion herself sits on the precipice of making history once again. While she was the second woman to be nominated for best director for “The Piano” (1993), the film also stands as the first film nominated for best picture, which was solely written, directed and produced by women. Only two others have followed – Debra Granik’s “Winter’s Bone” (2010) and Greta Gerwig’s “Little Women” (2019). She would be the first woman to be nominated a second time if nominated for directing.
Kenneth Branagh’s “Belfast,” the presumed frontrunner for best picture, is also likely to score a healthy seven mentions (or eight if Jamie Dornan can make the cut alongside his co-star Ciarán Hinds).
There seem to be about five or six films vying for two spots in best picture, with the same repeating in acting categories. As always, we can assume some shocking misses (i.e., Amy Adams in “Arrival,” Tom Hanks in “Captain Phillips” or Paul Giamatti in “Sideways”).
Friendly reminder: all predictions on the 2022 Oscars Collective are in alphabetical order. Go to the individual pages to see the rankings (they are updating throughout the day). Make note of the updated date at the top of each page.
NOTE: All final credits are determined by the Academy and will be announced with nominations on Feb. 8.
Best Picture
“Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)
Todd Black, Jason Blumenthal, Steve Tisch
“Belfast” (Focus Features)***
Laura Berwick, Celia Duvall, Becca Kovacik, Tamar Thomas
“CODA” (Apple Original Films)
Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi, Patrick Wachsberger, Jerôme Seydoux
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Adam McKay, Kevin Messick, Scott Stuber, Betsy Koch, Todd Schulman
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Cale Boyter, Joe Caracciolo Jr, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Tim White, Trevor White, Will Smith
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Paul Thomas Anderson, Sara Murphy, JoAnne Sellar, Daniel Lupi
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Bradley Cooper, J. Miles Dale, Guillermo Del Toro
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Emile Sherman, Iain Canning, Roger Frappier, Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Kristie Macosko Krieger, Kevin McCollum, Steven Spielberg
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Kenneth Branagh
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Jane Campion***
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Steven Spielberg
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Denis Villeneuve
“Dune” (Warner Bros.)
Best Actor
Benedict Cumberbatch
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Andrew Garfield
“Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix)
Cooper Hoffman
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Will Smith***
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Denzel Washington
“The Tragedy of Macbeth” (Apple Original Films/A24)
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Ben Affleck
“The Tender Bar” (Amazon Studios)
Bradley Cooper
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Ciarán Hinds
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Troy Kotsur
“CODA” (Apple Original Films)
Kodi Smit-McPhee***
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Best Supporting Actress
“Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)
Aaron Sorkin
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Kenneth Branagh
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Adam McKay, David Sirota
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)***
Paul Thomas Anderson
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Zach Baylin
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Animated Feature
“Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)***
Jared Bush, Byron Howard
“Flee” (Neon)
Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen
“Luca” (Pixar)
Enrico Casarosa, Andrea Warren
“The Mitchells vs. The Machines” (Netflix)
Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Chris Miller
“Raya and the Last Dragon” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Osnat Shurer, Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada
Best Production Design
“Cyrano” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Patrice Vermette, Richard Roberts, Zsuzsanna Sipos
“The French Dispatch of the Liberty, Kansas Evening Sun” (Searchlight Pictures)
Adam Stockhausen, Rena DeAngelo
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Tamara Deverell, Shane Vieau
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Adam Stockhausen, Rena DeAngelo
Best Cinematography
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Greig Fraser
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Dan Laustsen
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Ari Wegner
“The Tragedy of Macbeth” (Apple Original Films/A24)
Bruno Delbonnel
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Janusz Kamiński
Best Costume Design
“Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Jenny Beavan
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Jacqueline West
“House of Gucci” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Janty Yates
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Mark Bridges
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Luis Sequeira
Best Film Editing
“Belfast” (Focus Features)***
Úna Ní Dhonghaíle
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Hank Corwin
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Joe Walker
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Pamela Martin
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Peter Sciberras
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Nadia Stacey, Carolyn Cousins
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Donald Mowat, Love Larson, Eva von Bahr
“The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)
Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram, Justin Raleigh
“House of Gucci” (United Artists Releasing/MGM)
Jana Carboni, Giuliano Mariano, Göran Lundström
“The Suicide Squad” (Warner Bros)
Heba Thorisdottir, Janine Thompson
Best Sound
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Simon Chase, James Mather, Denise Yarde, Niv Adris
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill, Ron Bartlett
“No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, Paul Massey
“Spider-Man: No Way Home” (Sony Pictures)
Willie Burton, Kevin O’Connell, Tony Lambert, Steven Ticknor, Vanessa Lapato
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson, Tod Maitland, Shawn Murphy
Best Visual Effects
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor, Gerd Nefzer
“Ghostbusters: Afterlife” (Sony Pictures)
Alessandro Ongaro, Sheena Duggal, Aharon Bourland, Pier Lefebvre
“Godzilla vs. Kong” (Warner Bros)
John Desjardin, Bryan Hirota, Kevin Smith, Mike Meinardus
“No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Charlie Noble, Chris Corbould
“Spider-Man: No Way Home” (Sony Pictures)
Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein, Dan Sudick
Best Original Score
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Nicholas Britell
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Hans Zimmer
“Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Germaine Franco
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)***
Jonny Greenwood
“Spencer” (Neon/Topic Studios)
Jonny Greenwood
Best Original Song
“Annette” (Amazon Studios)
“So May We Start” – Ron Mael, Russell Mael
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
“Just Look Up” – Nicholas Britell, Ariana Grande, Scott Mescudi, Taura Stinson
“Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“Dos Oruguitas” – Lin-Manuel Miranda
“The Harder They Fall” (Netflix)
“Guns Go Bang” – Jeymes Samuel, Scott Mescudi, Shawn Carter
“No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)***
“No Time to Die” – Billie Eilish, Finneas O’Connell
Best Documentary Feature
“Attica” (Showtime)
Traci Curry, Stanley Nelson
“Flee” (Neon)
Monica Hellström, Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Signe Byrge Sørensen
“The Rescue” (National Geographic)
Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
“Simple as Water” (HBO)
Robin Hessman, Megan Mylan
“Summer of Soul (Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)***
David Dinerstein, Robert Fyvolent, Joseph Patel, Questlove
Best International Feature
“Drive My Car” (Japan)***
dir. Ryusuke Hamaguchi
“Flee” (Denmark)
dir. Jonas Poher Rasmussen
“The Hand of God” (Italy)
dir. Paolo Sorrentino
“A Hero” (Iran)
dir. Asghar Farhadi
“The Worst Person in the World” (Norway)
dir. Joachim Trier
Best Animated Short
“Boxballet”
“Mum is Pouring Rain”
“Namoo“***
“Robin Robin”
“Step into the River“
Best Documentary Short
“Audible“***
“A Broken House”
“Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker”
“The Queen of Basketball”
“Terror Contagion“
Best Live Action Short
“Censor of Dreams”
“The Dress”
“The Long Goodbye“***
“When the Sun Sets”
“You’re Dead Hélène“
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Best Animated Feature
- Best Production Design
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Sound
- Best Visual Effects
- Best Original Score
- Best Original Song
- Best Documentary Feature
- Best International Feature
- Best Animated Short
- Best Documentary Short
- Best Live-Action Short
